London, 30 Aug 2002.
For immediate release.

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ABD Calls for an End to Computer Errors
"The climate modelers have been cheating for so long it's almost become respectable"

(Richard Kerr, discussing 'adjustments' in climate models, Science, 1997).

With national policymaking imposing ever greater burdens on industry and private transport, and based increasingly on the output of computer climate models, the Association of British Drivers believes it's time to stop the costly sham currently on the agenda (under an energy label) at the Earth Junket in South Africa.
 
* Harvard climatologist Dr Sallie Baliunas has stated that current computer climate models are not reliable as tools for explaining past climate or making projections for future trends.
 
* To generate a full model of the climate system covering all spatial scales, and then use it to run a projection into the future involving less than half the 100 year timescale of some IPCC 'storylines', would take more than 10 to the power of 34 years of supercomputer time, according to Dr Willie Soon of the Harvard-Smithsonian Centre for Astrophysics. This timescale is 10 to the power 24 times longer than the current age of the universe.
 
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Here we see the true nature of current climate modelling, which cannot handle all relevant spatial scales, nor can it cope with the millions of variables and the interactions between them - since these are not fully known or understood. Yet international policymaking is based on the output of such models, in spite of the fact that this output is at odds with the evidence of actual temperature measurements showing that the atmosphere has been cooling for more than 25 years.
 
What we have instead of scientific validity is political interference. IPCC Lead Author and leading climatologist Dr John Christy points out that the scenario which lead to the much-publicised outcome of a 6 degree C rise by 2100, mentioned in a recent IPCC Report and featured to the exclusion of the other 244 scenarios in media coverage, was "added to the Report at a late stage in the review process at the request of a few governments".
 
Computerised global warming is about scares, politics, and tax, not the environment.
 
"We have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified dramatic statements and make little mention of any doubts we may have. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest."

(Stephen Schneider, quoted by Dixy Lee Ray in 'Trashing the Planet').

Further reading: "Computer Climate Models are Trustworthy"

 
 
Notes for Editors